The headline is in no way intended to suggest that other stories told here are untrue. Still, there are perhaps these two aspects that have not been sufficiently emphasized yet, but which are worth it.

The first is this one: the author, the Wettopa, Dirk Paulsen, has only nourished himself from this tool since the “invention” of this tool. More information about this in a moment.

The second aspect is that: with the “invention” the author had no intention of successfully betting, making sports betting his life’s purpose, defeating the betting market or other considerations that most people take for granted, all under the same heading “Base motives in a desperate attempt to somehow get some money”. No, it was NOT like that.

The much simpler thought that emerged from the life story – passion for numbers and for football – almost completely conclusive, flawless, logical, is this: How could one scientifically calculate the possible outcomes of a football game for all the events what odds are there on the betting market?

The headline is in no way intended to suggest that other stories told here are untrue. Still, there are perhaps these two aspects that have not been sufficiently emphasized yet, but which are worth it.

The first is this one: the author, the Wettopa, Dirk Paulsen, has only nourished himself from this tool since the “invention” of this tool. More information about this in a moment.

The second aspect is that: with the “invention” the author had no intention of successfully betting, making sports betting his life’s purpose, defeating the betting market or other considerations that most people take for granted, all under the same heading “Base motives in a desperate attempt to somehow get some money”. No, it was NOT like that.

An ulterior motive that cannot be denied is in charge and should by no means be ignored: if something like this succeeds, then you can also earn money with it. No matter which way.

It should be mentioned that the time of the turnaround (from 1989) was one in which betting – also for this reason – spread enormously, and betting providers, like autumn mushrooms, sprout from the ground. Hence: the possibility of being able to do that offered a lot of visible, obvious potential. Let’s do it.

The second should now be added to the first aspect: yes, you have been able to eat (well) from it since then, but the alternatives mentioned have always been part of it. The tool was good, the algorithms were found and implemented well, the figures gave results, even with their own, cleverly devised statistical functions added to check that the calculations were good. The tool was used for the first time at the 1990 World Cup – and it proved itself, also in terms of betting, with profits

A world championship is, however, an independent competition and it was already evident at that time that a large number of “naïve” bettors made the odds so heavily favored that one could simply go for the outsiders. The tool usually suggested this, and the request was followed, which was enough to conclude positively. It’s all OK.

However, everyday life in the league is different. The tool first had to be made functional (the first version could initially only be used for one competition: the world championship – which of course was a lot) and above all: the validity of the calculations was also proven here. Everyday life in the league is different, both from the provider and from the weather side.

For almost a season, bets were only made on paper here. In addition, all possible algorithms were developed with which one could check the calculations or fine-tune the parameters that were required. There was a lot of work there – but gradually better and better results. The procedure for “paper betting” was a sophisticated system. All providers from whom you could get odds were recorded in the Betmaster – something child’s play today, manual labor back then. The computer calculated the possible tips for all providers that had been recorded. The so-called “value bets” – no one had any idea about the term at the time, but the content was well known. Fair quota is in a favorable relationship to the probability of occurrence and promises long-term profit, knowing full well that a single event does not provide any information here.

All of these possible bets have been put on real paper (printed out). Then each individual provider was faxed a selection of the tips that were possible with them. That went to a growing number of vendors, but let’s say there were ten in all. So each of these providers received a fax on Friday with the tips, and one on Monday, with a statement (back then there were no Monday games). It went on for months. In addition, each of the providers was given an overview from time to time: this is how the results were exactly with you, and this is how they were with all the other providers. It was not concealed that the same system was used across multiple providers.

The result after these several months (it was, in short, almost an entire season): around 5% profit in total, all achieved with single bets. Of course, there was an occasional consultation with the providers, by telephone, and here and there met astonishment: “Then why don’t you bet?”

This part of the story is only intended to make it clear that it was really just scientific work at first. You could if you wanted to. One consequence was this: you simply visit all the providers, very personally, introduce yourself and get to know them and show your product. Do you have to pay enough attention to open a few doors?

No sooner said than done: the computer packed, into the car, and off to Austria (where the majority of the providers were then; you even got an invitation to England, but it didn’t come to fruition). All providers checked. Everyone had the tool demonstrated to them, so the doors were opened very well, so much had been achieved, and you sat with all the bosses for the presentation. At that time, the tool was still in the commandline interface (in German: none at all). But it was more about the results ?! The doubters outnumbered them, but this one success was also achieved: the provider in beautiful Innsbruck was ready after the meeting to pay a weekly amount for the delivery of the quotas.

Since the other stubborn heads turned out to be such, the burden of proof was practically pushed into a different way. A well-known and recognized, but no longer so common education method is: if you don’t want to hear, you have to feel. This resulted in many more contacts and also many bets and many funny conversations. An example of what a provider of mathematics understanding countered was: “If I played like you, then I would win too.” In fact, this also resulted in a kind of lesson. He could NOT do it – and the 40,000 DM he had to shell out for it went into his own pocket. He did not want to hear, little is known of his subsequent feelings.

Be that as it may: over the years, the tool has made the profits that were easily enough to live on, one might like to say: a little more. It was a good life that one could lead. And those who preferred to hear rather than feel were invited to purchase the numbers at any time. There were quite a few – but from a local point of view this does not reduce the quality of the tool. Only the thought: “Yes, they bought from you, but why did that end?” Could give rise to doubts. But a lot of things are changing in this world, some providers no longer exist, the world of quotas has changed, there were soon a large number of providers who did not even make such bad quotas, many began to write off each other and there were soon the famous “bookmaker’s conferences”, in which the previous competitors at least coordinated so far that they no longer clashed with each other. This also had an impact on the value of the numbers offered. So: there were buyers, my supplies weren’t cheap, some came, some went, from 2000 the Asian market came along, which turned everything completely inside out anyway.

The tool has earned millions. In any case, to a large extent with betting too. The calculation bases have been preserved, the basic approach has never changed anyway. It still works, even if some things have made long-term profits difficult. Only the well-known and almost boring “betting manipulations” should be mentioned as an example, which brought in unpleasant side aspects that do not necessarily have to be explained in more detail here.

One more important aspect should be mentioned: the hotly debated bans that the winners received. From our own experience, there is only so much that can be revealed: our own dealings with the providers were always the same. “I’m good at arithmetic and have developed a tool with which I can give you the odds with which you will be successful.” “No, I don’t think so.” “Then I can bet with you?” “Well of course. ”“ It’s great that we have clarified that. You can change your mind at any time. Just tell me how high can I play? Just tell me the amount per game or per bet – and please don’t be too petty at this point. You have the good odds, you have the advantage, the more you accept the games, the better for you. ”This logic was insurmountable and flawless. In this respect: you could just always place the sales you wanted. In which direction did the money end up going? Well, stories are not of much use here either, because, like everything else here, they could be dismissed as simple anglers’ Latin. But: the author did not become poor. However, there were never any bans.