1) The game of football
a. Why do you play?
b. Individual or team sport
c. Exercise or mental sport
d. Football is number 1, plain and simple.
e. Football in the past – today
f. The role of the media, the Olympic idea?
g. What makes a game exciting?
i. As a performer
ii. As a spectator
h. What else makes it worth watching?
i. The fans versus the neutral spectators
2) The football rules and their application
a. The responsibility towards the spectator
b. Derivation of the intended goal: How do you increase the tension?
c. Psychological causes of behaviour
i. The player
ii. The referee
d. The tendency of the decisions: Against the attackers
e. Evidence techniques
f. Rethinking is enough
g. Individual rules and their interpretation
i. Offside
ii. Penalty
- through foul play
- by handball
iii. Display of injury time
iv. Wall distance
v. Fair Play
vi. Goalkeeper protection
vii. The three-point rule
h. Ideas for improvement
3) Reporting
a. Comparison abroad – Germany
b. The simple task for reporters
c. Capturing tension or being clever?
4) The predictability of football
a. Basic considerations
i. What does calculating actually mean?
ii. Mathematical derivation: 100% awarded.
iii. The motivation of the individual parameters
iv. Conversion of this into computer logic
v. The principle of simulation
- individual game
- tournament
vi. The adjustment of parameters to actual results
vii. The “fair odds”: what is an “advantage bet”?
viii. The system: The system bet
ix. Verifiability of the quality of the numbers/”predictions”.
x. The perfect betting game
5) Historically: The German team at the major tournaments since ’66
