The playing strength ranking
Team For Against Quotient For/Counter Change of Quotient Shift| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 2.08 | 0.80 | 2.60 | +0.07 | +0 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 2.10 | 0.84 | 2.50 | -0.01 | +0 |
| 3 | FC Schalke 04 | 1.86 | 1.25 | 1.49 | -0.15 | +0 |
| 4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.36 | 1.07 | 1.27 | -0.01 | +0 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 1.81 | 1.52 | 1.19 | +0.05 | +1 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1.55 | 1.33 | 1.17 | +0.02 | -1 |
| 7 | Hannover 96 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.02 | +0.04 | +0 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.02 | +0.07 | +0 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 1.44 | 1.51 | 0.95 | +0.00 | +0 |
| 10 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1.34 | 1.41 | 0.95 | +0.08 | +1 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1.42 | 1.60 | 0.89 | -0.04 | -1 |
| 12 | 1.FC Nürnberg | 1.13 | 1.37 | 0.83 | +0.08 | +3 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 1.32 | 1.65 | 0.80 | +0.02 | -1 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 1.07 | 1.48 | 0.72 | -0.04 | -1 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 1.15 | 1.67 | 0.69 | -0.06 | -1 |
| 16 | Hertha BSC | 1.11 | 1.73 | 0.64 | -0.02 | +0 |
| 17 | 1.FC Köln | 1.19 | 2.00 | 0.60 | -0.04 | +0 |
| 18 | 1.FC Kaiserslautern | 0.80 | 1.57 | 0.51 | -0.01 | +0 |
| 25.68 | 25.68 | +0 |
Goals ø expected
2.85 The win confirmed and consolidated Dortmund’s top position. The fact that the first half went so clearly to them justifies the victory in the end, even if Bayern could prove to be on par in half 2. Stuttgart actually took over from even (clearly) victorious Leverkusen with the great series. But: both won 3:1, but Stuttgart away at the better team.
The swap of places between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg is easy to understand, even if Wolfsburg’s performance in Hannover is supposed to have been flawless. In the end, the computer is the one that most blatantly represents “results football”.
Nürnberg jump 3 places, past Freiburg, Augsburg and HSV. Yes, as I said, a liberating blow with the somewhat bitter aftertaste that it was achieved against, of all teams, the friendly team that is very close to achieving the (absolute maximum) goal of the season, the Champions League qualification.
A small note, based on experience: quotients of over 2 usually only emerge in the second half of the season. Conversely, a ratio of 0.5 (or below) is extremely rare, even if Lautern have now come close with this negative series. This means that a somewhat skewed table picture actually emerges (in the real table), as the top teams score more than the teams at the back concede.
Otherwise, the comment that hardly ever a team is ranked below 0.65 at the beginning of the season (nor should it be). The quotient somehow reflects the competitiveness in the league. However, the reciprocal value is only 1.5, and the top teams (mostly Bayern) have a 2.0 or above, but they also earn it in the long term.
