The mathematical review of the results of the 28th matchday
At this point, the predicted goal expectations are compared with the reality, as well as the expected determination with the arrived one.
Goal expectation
Home Away Total DeviationWerder Gladbach 1.21 1.15 2.35 2 0.79 0.85
Mainz FC Cologne 2.32 1.27 3.59 4 0 1.68 -1.27
Hertha Freiburg 1.53 1.48 3.00 1 2 -0.53 0.52
Augsburg Stuttgart 1.38 1.50 2.88 1 3 -0.38 1.50
Leverkusen Kaiserslautern 1.79 0.68 2.47 3 1 1.21 0.32
Dortmund FC Bayern 1.51 1.12 2.62 1 0 -0.51 -1.12
Hoffenheim HSV 1.42 1.02 2.44 4 0 2.58 -1.02
Nuremberg Schalke 04 1.01 1.55 2.56 4 1 2.99 -0.55
Hannover Wolfsburg 1.88 1.32 3.20 2 0 0.12 -1.32
14.04 11.07 25.11 22 9 7.96 -2.07
Expected goal total Expected goal average Scored goal average
25.11 2.79 3.44 ø expected goal difference 1.87 ø goal difference 2.13
The determination expected/achieved
The determination expected Pairing 1 X 2
Werder Gladbach 37.37% 28.28% 34.35% 33.76%
Mainz FC Cologne 60.83% 19.33% 19.83% 44.68%
Hertha Freiburg 38.81% 24.57% 36.62% 34.51%
Augsburg Stuttgart 34.84% 25.15% 40.00% 34.47%
Leverkusen Kaiserslautern 63.90% 22.45% 13.65% 47.73%
Dortmund FC Bayern 46.08% 25.91% 28.01% 35.79%
Hoffenheim HSV 46.02% 26.96% 27.02% 35.75%
Nuremberg Schalke 04 24.67% 25.73% 49.60% 37.31%
Hanover Wolfsburg 50.52% 22.69% 26.79% 37.85%
4.03 2.21 2.76 3.42
Average expected fixing: 37.98%Here, always as a reminder, are the values from the previous week. The main point is that the expected commitment is calculated here once again in a comprehensible way.
The determination arrived Pairing 1 X 2 Tendency
Werder Gladbach 37.37% 28.28% 34.35% 0 28.28%
Mainz FC Cologne 60.83% 19.33% 19.83% 1 60.83%
Hertha Freiburg 38.81% 24.57% 36.62% 2 36.62%
Augsburg Stuttgart 34.84% 25.15% 40.00% 2 40.00%
Leverkusen Kaiserslautern 63.90% 22.45% 13.65% 1 63.90%
Dortmund FC Bayern 46.08% 25.91% 28.01% 1 46.08%
Hoffenheim HSV 46.02% 26.96% 27.02% 1 46.02%
Nuremberg Schalke 04 24.67% 25.73% 49.60% 1 24.67%
Hanover Wolfsburg 50.52% 22.69% 26.79% 1 50.52%
6 1 2 3.97
Average commitment received: 44.10%