The direct Champions League Quali over 2nd and 3rd place
The probability distribution after the 28th matchday from a computer point of view
| Mannschaft | Anzahl 2. Plätze in 5000 Simulationen | Anzahl 3. Plätze in 5000 Simulationen | Summe der Plätze 2 und 3 | 2. Plätze in Prozent | |
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 168 | 3955 | 4123 | 82.46% |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 2984 | 102 | 3086 | 61.72% |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 1843 | 74 | 1917 | 38.34% |
| 4 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 866 | 871 | 17.42% |
| 5 | Hannover 96 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.06% |
| 200.00% |
The changes in chances due to the results of the 28th matchday
| Mannschaft | Gewinn/Verlust absolut gegenüber vorherigem Spieltag | Gewinn/Verlust in Prozent | |
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 863 | 17.26% |
| 2 | FC Schalke 04 | 405 | 8.10% |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 3 | 0.06% |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | -5 | -0.10% |
| 17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | -418 | -8.36% |
| 18 | FC Bayern München | -848 | -16.96% |
| 0 | 0.00% |
