The betting recommendations
The fair odds
Pairing 1 X 2
Stuttgart | Werder | 1.72 | 4.88 | 4.70 |
Kaiserslautern | Nürnberg | 3.57 | 3.18 | 2.47 |
Schalke 04 | Dortmund | 3.31 | 3.83 | 2.29 |
Wolfsburg | Augsburg | 1.82 | 4.22 | 4.69 |
HSV | Hannover | 2.76 | 3.82 | 2.66 |
Leverkusen | Hertha | 1.62 | 4.84 | 5.73 |
FC Bayern | Mainz | 1.29 | 7.00 | 12.36 |
Gladbach | FC Köln | 1.52 | 5.04 | 6.90 |
Freiburg | Hoffenheim | 2.45 | 3.96 | 2.94 |
Here are the “fair odds” calculated by the computer. These are calculated exactly to 100% respectively they are the reciprocals of the calculated odds on 1 – X – 2.
Pairing 1 X 2 % Average
Stuttgart | Werder | 1.93 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 101.94% |
Kaiserslautern | Nürnberg | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.46 | 104.14% |
Schalke 04 | Dortmund | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 102.03% |
Wolfsburg | Augsburg | 1.80 | 3.85 | 4.70 | 102.81% |
HSV | Hannover | 2.44 | 3.55 | 3.15 | 100.90% |
Leverkusen | Hertha | 1.56 | 4.20 | 6.40 | 103.54% |
FC Bayern | Mainz | 1.32 | 5.80 | 12.50 | 101.00% |
Gladbach | FC Köln | 1.52 | 4.40 | 7.20 | 102.41% |
Freiburg | Hoffenheim | 2.34 | 3.65 | 3.20 | 101.38% |
Goal expectation 1.47
These are the figures compared with the betting market. These are always based on Monday’s figures from the betting exchange betfair.
Here are the displayed bets for the 28th matchday. A bet is always “displayed” – from the computer’s point of view – if the odds to be achieved on the market are above the fair odds.
For this weekend, almost all bets seem to have been made up out of thin air. There are no real bargains, but you have to look for them for a long time anyway. There are no guarantees of success at any point, even if one is very convinced of the quality of individual bets from time to time.
Short comment on the betting recommendations
Again, all bets that are a bit made up out of thin air. Only Stuttgart against Werder can be halfway justified, although the rate doesn’t actually sound that great. But Werder have had such bad games in a row, while Stuttgart are just flying at the moment. Accordingly, the best bet of the weekend: 5/10.
Hannover in Hamburg can’t be recommended in so far as HSV really need something urgently now, even if the competition (Hertha and Cologne) don’t look so dangerous at the moment. Of course, you can never relax in Hamburg, plus that Hannover, even if often played really well, had luck on their side more often. So just 1/10, for entertainment.
Hertha at Leverkusen has a similar character. It can’t be good, especially as the advantage is also very small. Hertha must, of course, in this game (as in every other) and have presented themselves better away than at home. Also a 1/10, purely for entertainment.
Hoffenheim’s win at Freiburg is also not really convincing as a bet. The advantage is small, Freiburg still in great shape, and Hoffenheim in the middle of nowhere. However, the fact that Freiburg should now also have the worst behind them in the relegation question speaks for itself. All right, 2/10 then.