RelegationAfter31

The descent question Note: here are the results of the simulation of 5000 runs. The 233.33% total is explained like this: there are TWO direct relegated teams, each of which ends up 100% relegated, making 200%. The team that finishes in the relegation spot (16) is generally considered a 2 to 1 favourite against the…

RelegationAfter30

The descent question Note: here are the results of the simulation of 5000 runs. The 233.33% total is explained like this: there are TWO direct relegated teams, each of which ends up 100% relegated, making 200%. The team that finishes in the relegation spot (16) is generally considered a 2 to 1 favourite against the…

The descent question

Note: here are the results of the simulation of 5000 runs. The 233.33% total is explained like this: there are TWO direct relegated teams, each of which ends up 100% relegated, making 200%. The team that finishes in the relegation spot (16) is generally considered a 2 to 1 favourite against the second division third…

The descent question

Note: here are the results of the simulation of 5000 runs. The 233.33% total is explained like this: there are TWO direct relegated teams, each of which ends up 100% relegated, making 200%. The team that finishes in the relegation spot (16) is generally considered a 2 to 1 favourite against the second division third…

The relegation question

  Team Direct relegation (17th or 18th place) Relegation by relegation Total 1 1.FC Kaiserslautern      93.76% 1.18% 94.94% 2 Hertha BSC 30.68% 6.99% 37.67% 3 1.FC Köln                26.74% 6.71% 33.45% 4 FC Augsburg 21.26% 6.53% 27.79% 5 Hamburger SV             12.14% 4.81% 16.95% 6 SC Freiburg              12.34% 4.35% 16.69% 7 1.FC Nürnberg            1.56% 1.46% 3.02% 8…

EM preview with betting recommendations

Now that the last decisions of the season have been made, bettors will probably only have the European Championship on their minds. What else should you place your money on, what else should you entertain yourself with? In contrast to the summers of the odd-numbered years, there is at least one major event this year.…

The computer programme

The idea of making football “calculable” was thus born on the part of the author as early as his childhood. In the early 1980s, thanks to access to the mainframe computer, the Harris, at the Free University of Berlin plus the gradually acquired programming skills, it became more and more concrete. The first attempts at…

A short EM review

The European Championship is over, the big favourite has won. This is what both the betting market and the computer said, but the computer even advised playing Spain at the beginning. The market had paid a 3.8, the computer calculated fair odds of 3.2. And even in the assessment of Team Spain, after evaluating the…

What is the score of a football match?

Today we have another commentary on the European Football Championship, which, irrespective of the bets and betting recommendations, the betting market and its movements as well as the odds on the title, takes a stand on the content of the matches, the quality of them, the performance of the referees and, marginally, that of the…

The judiciary

Having taken a position on the fate of Hertha BSC a few times now, there shall be another assessment today, as the players’ punishments are due. As a loser, you really have a hard time in this country. And it’s pretty clearly divided into winners and losers. At the Olympics, for example – and please…