### My System

The expression “my system” is, of course, a great exaggeration. For it is certainly essentially the system with which every professional gambler has to work and it is at the same time the system with which, according to popular opinion, the providers “line their pockets”. The system is therefore basically based on placing one’s money…

### The perfect betting game

Now that we have learned the method with which one can check the quality of one’s own predictions even in the long term and neither have to bet money nor have to consult the assessments of other prophets, it is time to think about how to compare the assessments of two to several players, tipsters,…

### My System

This chapter is to explain my system for successful betting on football matches. The betting market on which I have successfully used my system is variable. The history of the betting market is explained in the chapter “The Betting Market”. The practice explained here was the one used for many years. However, the changes in…

### Verifiability of the quality of a prediction

1) Introduction In principle, it is a problem to venture to test the quality of predictions. One predicts a probability with which a certain event will occur. Then it occurs or it does not. There is no real yardstick, since the very concept of probability admits both cases, the occurrence and the non-occurrence, whether this…

### Heranfan Forecast quality

Approaching the problem of forecast quality testing So now we have seen what types of bets there are, We have seen what forms of betting providers there are. And we have learned that the good player is characterised by the fact that he has money, that he has a lot of money or even more…

### Football Betting

Football bets or bets on events with indeterminable probabilities Before I go into this really complex topic in more detail, I would first like to recapitulate what we have seen so far:In other words, one tries to achieve the greatest possible equity for all the money one stakes. In the best case, which is indispensable…

### The Mathematics of Football

The mathematics of football 1) A few more general considerations The task one faces when trying to get a mathematical “grip” on football is not an easy one. First of all, of course, one needs the necessary world view in order to be able to find a mathematical approach at all, or rather, to embark…

### Expected Value and Equity

In order not to be exposed as a charlatan at an early stage (no doubt that I am), I must once again include a somewhat more strenuous chapter. One with some arithmetic and such. We simply have to deal with these two terms mentioned, I simply cannot spare the reader and interested sports bettor that.…

### Own Assessments

In order to be able to play successfully in the betting market, it makes sense to learn the ability to make your own assessments for the games. In the classical sense, this would be making odds. However, it would be more general and better to work with probabilities. But how do you determine an odds…

### The Fair Bet

1) The fair bet or a completely fair game. This is also an invention of mathematics. Finding this game in practice is equally impossible. Even the toss of a coin for equal money would not be an absolutely fair game. The coin cannot be balanced at all, one side is heavier or lighter or the…